In a recent monetary policy
meeting held in Frankfurt, the European Central Bank (ECB) kept interest rates
unchanged while keeping the bond buying at a run rate of 60 billion euros
($72.2 billion) per month. Subdued inflation and an uncertain exchange rate are
the primary reasons for the continued expansionary stance of the ECB.
Interest rates are expected to
remain at the current level for an extended period of time. Regarding
quantitative easing, bond buying will continue at the pace of 60 billion euros
until the end of 2017, or beyond if necessary.
The medium-term outlook for
inflation and growth remains unchanged for the eurozone. Despite strong
economic growth, inflation lagged behind the target rate.
GDP growth is improving
Economic growth in the eurozone
looks stable with GDP expected to grow 2.2% and 1.8% in 2017 and 2018. Compared
to the June 2017 projection, GDP growth has been revised upward by the ECB in
the current outlook.
Economic growth is being supported
by the expansionary monetary policy, according to the ECB. Quantitative easing
is resulting in favorable financing conditions along with facilitating
deleveraging, which in turn is resulting in corporate profitability, employment
gains and demand growth.
Inflation stays under pressure
The ECB expects headline inflation
to decline during the last part of the year. Improvement is yet to be seen in
measures of underlying inflation. Annual HICP inflation is expected
to be around 1.5% and 1.2% for 2017 and 2018, according to ECB Staff
projections.
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